Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Mar 01 2024 08:19:51

ACUS03 KWNS 010819
SWODY3
SPC AC 010818

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0218 AM CST Fri Mar 01 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.

....Synopsis...
A strong shortwave trough will lift northeast across the northern
Plains on Sunday while evolving into a closed upper low, as several
weaker perturbations move quickly east within a strong mid-level jet
from the Pacific Northwest into the central Rockies. An associated
surface low will lift north from the northern Plains into Manitoba
during the day.  Despite very minimal instability, isolated
thunderstorms will be possible across the upper Midwest where strong
deep-layer ascent will develop via low-level warm advection and lift
with the upper trough. Isolated lightning strikes may also occur
near the coast from northern CA northward.

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible in the general vicinity of
a surface front from FL west to the central Gulf Coast, where weak
instability (generally less than 750 J/kg) is expected to be
present.

Although low-level moisture will increase across eastern portions of
TX/OK Sunday within strengthening southerly low-level flow, a
pronounced capping inversion will be present and this is likely to
preclude thunderstorm development despite gradually increasing
instability.

...Bunting.. 03/01/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.