Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 29 2024 06:37:55

ACUS02 KWNS 290637
SWODY2
SPC AC 290636

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1236 AM CST Thu Feb 29 2024

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday.

....Synopsis...

A weak upper shortwave trough will migrate from the Lower MS Valley
toward the Mid-Atlantic vicinity on Friday. Only very weak surface
low development may occur near or just offshore the central Gulf
Coast in response to the upper wave. Most forecast guidance keeps
any deeper boundary-layer moisture offshore. Cloud cover will
inhibit much warming during the day, along with ongoing showers and
thunderstorms. Though modest midlevel lapse rates will reside over
the region, surface-based destabilization is not expected and at
least a weak low-level inversion is depicted in most forecast
soundings. Nevertheless, minor elevated instability will support
isolated to scattered thunderstorm activity. Some gusty winds may
accompany thunderstorms given strong flow not far above the
near-surface layer, but overall severe potential appears low given
poor low-level thermodynamics.

Across the western U.S., a persistent, broad upper trough will
continue to impact the Pacific Northwest vicinity. Strong
deep-layers westerly flow will maintain a deep moist layer. Cold
temperature aloft will also result in steep lapse rates and
sufficient instability to support isolated thunderstorms in
orographic ascent along the WA/OR coast and into northern CA.

...Leitman.. 02/29/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.