Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0173
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Feb 28 2024 09:26:15

ACUS11 KWNS 280926
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280925=20
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-281030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0173
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0325 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024

Areas affected...Ohio...Far Southwest Pennsylvania...Northwest West
Virginia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 280925Z - 281030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will continue for several hours
across parts of the Ohio Valley this morning. Wind damage, hail and
perhaps a brief tornado or two will be possible. A new weather watch
will need to be issued soon across the region.

DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar imagery from
Wilmington, Ohio shows a line of organizing storms located from
southwest Ohio into southwest Indiana. This line is being supported
by lift associated with a cold front, and shortwave trough evident
on water vapor imagery. The line will continue to progress
east-southeastward over the next several hours, with convection
moving eastward across the remainder of southern Ohio. Weak
instability, along with about 80 kts of 0-6 km shear, evident on the
Wilmington, Ohio WSR-88D VWP, will support an isolated severe
threat. A potential for wind damage and hail will exist with the
stronger cells embedded in the line. A brief tornado or two will be
possible, mainly with rotating cells within or ahead of the stronger
parts of the line.

...Broyles/Goss.. 02/28/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_-uQt4E2RnbQSsu3hYrdWFrq4lfcbE7oqBm-BTzGA5QV7UDr6edYKw-qJAh2KCopNBVCKE6Xl=
kCgGWJs2WuTVLHIGgY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

LAT...LON   39868028 39098085 38468200 38428290 38688331 39318326
            40298333 40778291 40978174 40858039 39868028=20


=3D =3D =3D
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