Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Feb 26 2024 07:40:56

ACUS03 KWNS 260740
SWODY3
SPC AC 260740

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0140 AM CST Mon Feb 26 2024

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Wednesday.

....Synopsis...

An upper trough oriented from the Upper Midwest to the southern
Plains will pivot to the Northeast states by Thursday morning. A
surface low will develop east/northeast across southern Ontario and
Quebec, while a trailing cold front moves across much of the eastern
third of the CONUS. Showers and thunderstorms will likely be ongoing
Wednesday morning along the cold front from western Ohio southwest
toward western TN. Modest boundary-layer moisture is forecast ahead
of the front across the Ohio Valley to the central Appalachians.
Widespread cloudiness and continued precipitation will limit
downstream destabilization through the day. Nevertheless, strong
southwesterly flow above 925 mb is forecast. Some gusty winds may
accompany thunderstorms, especially along the Ohio Valley vicinity.
However, given MLCAPE less than 200 J/kg for the most part and poor
low-level lapse rates, severe convective gusts are not expected and
probabilities appear too low to introduce a Marginal risk at this
time.

...Leitman.. 02/26/2024

$$

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