Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Feb 25 2024 17:17:54

ACUS02 KWNS 251717
SWODY2
SPC AC 251716

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1116 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

....Synopsis...
The upper-air pattern on Monday will feature a split-flow regime
over the West.  A mid-level trough over the Pacific Northwest coast
will amplify as it moves southeastward into the northern
Rockies/northern Intermountain regions.  A belt of strong
subtropical flow will extend from the eastern Pacific
east-northeastward into the Desert Southwest/south-central U.S.  In
the low levels, a surface low over the Upper Midwest will shift
southeast, as a cold front pushes through the northern Rockies and
the northern Great Plains.  A warm conveyor belt farther east over
the mid MS Valley will likely lead to isolated to widely scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms developing within a broad zone of
warm-air advection from the Mid South northward into the southern
Great Lakes.  Current indications by model guidance suggest only low
thunderstorm probabilities across the southern Great Lakes Monday
night, lending doubt to the need for low-severe probabilities.

...Smith.. 02/25/2024

$$

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