Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Feb 24 2024 19:22:15

ACUS01 KWNS 241922
SWODY1
SPC AC 241920

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0120 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2024

Valid 242000Z - 251200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms remain possible across parts of the Carolinas this
afternoon.

....20Z Update...
No changes have been made to the prior outlook.

...Gleason.. 02/24/2024

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2024/

....Carolinas...
A deep upper trough is rotating across the eastern states today,
with an associated area of large scale lift and precipitation
crossing the Appalachians.  Mid-level temperatures are unusually
cold across the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas today, with 500mb
temperatures of -28 to -30C.  Considerable daytime heating over
NC/SC will steepen low-level lapse rates and result in marginal CAPE
around peak-heating - despite very meager low level moisture.  Most
12z model guidance and machine-learning tools suggest potential for
isolated thunderstorms, mainly in the 21-02z period.  No severe
storms are anticipated.

$$

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