Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Feb 23 2024 16:05:33

ACUS01 KWNS 231605
SWODY1
SPC AC 231603

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1003 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2024

Valid 231630Z - 241200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
No organized severe storms are expected today.

....Carolinas...
Morning surface analysis shows a low over VA with a trailing cold
front extending southwestward into the Gulf Coast states.  This
front will sweep southeastward today across the Carolinas.  Cloud
cover is diminishing across SC ahead of the front, which should
result in some heating/destabilization.  However, this heating will
be behind a pre-frontal trough, where veering surface winds are
weakening low-level convergence and shear.  Cold temperatures aloft
and steep lapse rates may still result in a few afternoon
thunderstorms, with small hail possible in the stronger cells.
However, guidance appears less favorable for severe storms than
earlier anticipated.

...Hart/Bentley.. 02/23/2024

$$

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