Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Feb 21 2024 08:11:42

FOUS30 KWBC 210811
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
310 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2024

Day 1
Valid 12Z Wed Feb 21 2024 - 12Z Thu Feb 22 2024

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...

Rainfall is expected to decrease rapidly this morning as the cold
front advances south and east of California.

 The slow-moving frontal system that produced rain in this region
over the previous few days will be moving inland, and the heavy
rainfall threat will decrease quickly Wednesday morning as the
cold front pushes south and east of California. Additional
rainfall totals look to remain fairly low, but the soils will be
saturated so any additional rainfall could pose a flooding threat.
The latest guidance had a notable drop in QPF amounts over parts
of the Transverse Ranges but maintained the highest amounts
focusing over portions of Riverside and San Diego Counties. The
Marginal Risk area was maintained for the ongoing threat for
flooding although was reduced along the northern bounds to reflect
the latest trend and WPC forecast.

Campbell




Day 2

The Day 2 outlook will be updated by 0830Z.


Day 3

The Day 3 outlook will be updated by 0830Z.


Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!5YBSNiLgtLD0W29iY17AJzXY-3TExfLeShNAp_XQ3Lzp=
3o4aw354WnAj74_l64BQ3DWxSZSI3Mp6Zm0QgIqPeRLYC7o$=20
Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!5YBSNiLgtLD0W29iY17AJzXY-3TExfLeShNAp_XQ3Lzp=
3o4aw354WnAj74_l64BQ3DWxSZSI3Mp6Zm0QgIqPmkV2iWQ$=20
Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!5YBSNiLgtLD0W29iY17AJzXY-3TExfLeShNAp_XQ3Lzp=
3o4aw354WnAj74_l64BQ3DWxSZSI3Mp6Zm0QgIqPg2YNViI$=20


$$



=3D =3D =3D
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