Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Wed Feb 21 2024 08:09:45 ACUS03 KWNS 210809 SWODY3 SPC AC 210808 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0208 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2024 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast across the contiguous United States on Friday. ....Synopsis... A broad, large-scale mid-level trough located to the east of the Rockies on Friday morning, will feature a speed max moving through its base over the Southeast. A surface low in the Mid-Atlantic states will move east and offshore into the western Atlantic during the day, as a cold front continues southeast into the Carolina shelf waters by mid afternoon and into the FL Peninsula. South-southwesterly low-level flow will aid in moist advection ahead of the front, but 50s to low 60s deg F dewpoints over the Carolinas into north FL are currently forecast. Isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms and associated cloud cover during the morning will likely delay/inhibit stronger heating from occurring prior to frontal passage over much of the Carolina Piedmont. The exception may be over the immediate coastal areas of SC/GA and the FL Peninsula where a low chance for diurnal storm development could occur. Given the uncertainty with weak destabilization and the potential for timing/placement errors of possible low-topped convection, will defer the possible inclusion of low-severe probabilities to later outlooks. Elsewhere, cool and/or dry and stable conditions will occur over much of the rest of the Lower 48 states. ...Smith.. 02/21/2024 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .