Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Feb 19 2024 09:54:54

ACUS48 KWNS 190954
SWOD48
SPC AC 190953

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0353 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2024

Valid 221200Z - 271200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Medium-range model guidance exhibits reasonable agreement in showing
a strong mid-level speed max moving quickly east across the
Southeast on Thursday.  Models have shown some consistency in
showing limited moisture return north into parts of the lower MS
Valley/Mid South on Thursday, and areas farther east prior to a
front moving offshore into the western Atlantic on Friday.  Given
the potential for lower CAPE/strong shear setup and inherent
uncertainties involved, will refrain from a highlighted area on
Thursday across the Mid South for this outlook update.  A
progressive flow regime will continue on Saturday across the CONUS
with climatologically below-average severe-weather potential likely
through Sunday.

...Smith.. 02/19/2024

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