Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Feb 17 2024 17:23:41

ACUS02 KWNS 171723
SWODY2
SPC AC 171721

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2024

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Little thunderstorm activity is forecast on Sunday across the
contiguous United States.

....Synopsis...
A stable pattern will exist across the CONUS on Sunday due to high
pressure over the plains and western Gulf of Mexico, and only a weak
surface trough over the eastern Gulf and southern FL. Low-level
moisture over south FL will support minimal instability with a few
hundred J/kg MLCAPE ahead of a low-amplitude upper trough to the
west. However, warm midlevel temperatures will minimize storm
strength, despite strong southwest flow aloft.

To the west, rapid midlevel moistening will occur along the West
Coast and into much of central and northern CA ahead of a
slow-moving upper trough over the Pacific Ocean. A cold front is
forecast to move ashore over northern/central CA late in the day,
however, only gradual cooling aloft will occur at that time,
maintaining rather warm and saturated profiles.

...Jewell.. 02/17/2024

$$

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