Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Feb 17 2024 05:47:03

ACUS01 KWNS 170546
SWODY1
SPC AC 170545

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 PM CST Fri Feb 16 2024

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the continental U.S.
today or tonight.

....DISCUSSION...
An upper-level trough will move through the eastern U.S. today, as a
shortwave trough moves into the southern High Plains. At the
surface, a cold front will advance southward across the Florida
Peninsula. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints will be in the mid
60s F across much of south Florida, where isolated thunderstorms
will be possible this afternoon and evening. Instability and
large-scale ascent are forecast to remain limited, which should keep
any storms that develop unorganized and relatively weak. Out west,
isolated thunderstorms may develop in northern California and far
southwest Oregon, as an upper-level trough moves inland this
evening. Elsewhere across the continental U.S., thunderstorms are
not forecast today or tonight.

...Broyles/Moore.. 02/17/2024

$$

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