Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Feb 16 2024 17:02:28

ACUS02 KWNS 161702
SWODY2
SPC AC 161700

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2024

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Saturday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
Thunderstorm potential should remain low across most of the CONUS on
Saturday as surface high pressure dominates east of the Rockies,
with two possible exceptions. A front should extend over parts of
the central/southern FL Peninsula Saturday afternoon. A moist
low-level airmass and diurnal heating should contribute to weak
instability along and south of this boundary, even though poor
mid-level lapse rates and seasonably warm temperatures aloft will
likely limit the development of greater buoyancy. Isolated lightning
flashes appear possible with any weak convection that can develop in
the vicinity of the front, although low-level convergence along this
boundary is expected to remain modest at best. Occasional lightning
may also occur with low-topped thunderstorms over parts of coastal
northern CA as a shortwave trough moves eastward across this area
Saturday afternoon and evening in tandem with cold mid-level
temperatures and steepened mid-level lapse rates.

...Gleason.. 02/16/2024

$$

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