Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Feb 16 2024 09:39:24

ACUS48 KWNS 160939
SWOD48
SPC AC 160937

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0337 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2024

Valid 191200Z - 241200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Medium-range model guidance shows short-wave length of the upper-air
pattern during most of the extended period.  Initially a dry
offshore flow regime over the Gulf will transition to the early
stage of moisture return/modification over the southern Great Plains
and lower MS Valley by Wednesday (day 6).  It seems moisture quality
and buoyancy will be the primary concerns/limiting factors as a
speed max is progged to move across the Southeast during the latter
half of the extended period.  Although some potential for at least
isolated severe thunderstorms may eventually develop, predictability
is low at this time.

...Smith.. 02/16/2024

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