Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 15 2024 19:52:20

ACUS01 KWNS 151952
SWODY1
SPC AC 151950

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 PM CST Thu Feb 15 2024

Valid 152000Z - 161200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.

....20Z Update...
No changes have been made to the prior outlook.

...Gleason.. 02/15/2024

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1022 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024/

....Synopsis...
Largely zonal flow will persist over the CONUS through tonight as a
low-amplitude shortwave trough moves from UT/northern AZ to KS/OK by
the end of the period.  Modest low-level moisture return will occur
ahead of the trough/surface cyclone beneath steepening midlevel
lapse rates.  However, the degree of moistening and forcing for
ascent appear insufficient for deep convection/charge separation
overnight.

$$

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