Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 15 2024 00:43:42

ACUS01 KWNS 150043
SWODY1
SPC AC 150042

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024

Valid 150100Z - 151200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.

....01z Update...

Most of the CONUS will remain lightning-free tonight but a few areas
may experience isolated thunderstorms. One area is over the lower
MO/mid-MS Valley region. Notable short-wave trough is approaching
this region. Forecast soundings suggest sustained large-scale
ascent/moistening should lead to weak elevated instability later
tonight. Weak convection may develop in response to this feature and
lightning can not be ruled out with a few updrafts.

Strong short-wave trough is also advancing toward the northern CA
Coast early this evening. Cooling midlevel temperatures will
contribute to weak buoyancy and a few thunderstorms may evolve north
of the upper jet as it translates inland.

...Darrow.. 02/15/2024

$$

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