Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Feb 13 2024 12:44:56

ACUS01 KWNS 131244
SWODY1
SPC AC 131243

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2024

Valid 131300Z - 141200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S.
through tonight.

....Discussion...
A fast-moving shortwave trough over the Mid-Atlantic seaboard early
today will continue to quickly shift northeastward to the western
Atlantic, with a surface cyclone/cold front moving
east-northeastward in a similar fashion. With weak buoyancy noted
along the coast (12z observed soundings from Wallops Island and
Morehead City), a couple of lightning flashes could initially occur
today near the coastal Mid-Atlantic, such as near far eastern
portions of Maryland/Virginia and northeast North Carolina. However,
this potential will remain quite low/sparse overall and quickly wane
this morning. Other offshore lightning flashes could occur off the
coast of southern New England through early afternoon.

Nearly zonal upper-level flow will otherwise prevail across the
remainder of the CONUS, as dry and stable conditions are anticipated
east of the Rockies.

...Guyer/Kerr.. 02/13/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.