Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0114
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 08 2024 22:45:11

ACUS11 KWNS 082245
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082244=20
ILZ000-082345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0444 PM CST Thu Feb 08 2024

Areas affected...north-central IL

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 082244Z - 082345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Localized risk for a brief tornado or two may focus
through 6pm CST across north-central IL.

DISCUSSION...A focused mesoscale corridor across north-central IL is
becoming slightly more favorable for mesocyclones and the potential
for a brief tornado over the next hour or so.  The latest forecast
soundings show rapid mid-level cooling (500 mb temperatures plunging
into the minus mid 20s deg C).  Surface analysis shows a slightly
more moisture-rich airmass with dewpoints near 50 deg F across
north-central IL.  The small surface temperature/dewpoint spreads
and adequate buoyancy and enlarged hodographs all suggest the
potential for a narrow window of opportunity for a brief tornado or
two during the next hour or so.

...Smith/Hart.. 02/08/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-nhZVwAyYXP0ZPY8btx6A6WF9SewGYChI2KjW6uaPm2f2SmsDmtgZqV8lnGyY36InJsUtXf-E=
rb9jz8rKkXLM64vIqg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...DVN...

LAT...LON   41118942 41488880 41418846 41048848 40708902 40638950
            40788965 41118942=20


=3D =3D =3D
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