Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Feb 07 2024 08:17:25

ACUS03 KWNS 070817
SWODY3
SPC AC 070816

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0216 AM CST Wed Feb 07 2024

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe weather is not forecast on Friday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
On Friday, a broad area of southwest flow aloft will extend from the
base of a trough across the Southwest into the eastern CONUS. This
trough will slowly translate east into the Rockies through Saturday
morning, as upper ridging takes place along the West Coast.
Meanwhile, a wave over the upper Great Lakes will lose amplitude as
it devolves into southern Ontario and Quebec, with a surface low
moving across James Bay.

Beneath the southwest flow regime aloft, persistent southerly winds
will allow for moisture return across TX and the central Gulf Coast
states, with generally upper 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints. A
slow-moving front may interact with this moistening air mass Friday
night as it moving toward the ArkLaTex and lower OH Valley, with a
few hundred J/kg MUCAPE near the front.

Given the very weak lift and marginal instability, severe weather is
not forecast, but a zone of thunderstorms is expected roughly from
the ArkLaTex into Middle TN Friday night. Straight hodographs and
front-parallel flow could aid a few small bowing structures or
robust cells producing small hail or gusty winds.

...Jewell.. 02/07/2024

$$

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