Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Feb 06 2024 07:53:16

ACUS03 KWNS 060753
SWODY3
SPC AC 060752

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0152 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
A few general thunderstorms may occur over the upper Mississippi
Valley on Thursday. Severe weather is unlikely.

....Synopsis...
On Thursday, a large upper trough will affect much of the western
and central CONUS, with a primary embedded shortwave trough
developing from the central Plains into the mid MS Valley. The
parent upper low will deepen slightly through the period as it moves
from the Dakotas into MN.

At the surface, low pressure will follow a similar path to the upper
low, being vertically stacked. A broad fetch of southwesterly
low-level flow will spread northward ahead of the low, but low-level
moisture will lag, as will destabilization.

While cold air aloft and areas of daytime heating may lead to weak
instability over the upper MS Valley, substantial midlevel drying
will also occur. As such, the plume of 50s to lower 60s F dewpoints
across the Sabine Valley is expected to remain inactive as ascent
will be well north of that area.

Elevated CAPE up to 250 J/kg may support scattered weak convection
north of the midlevel jet, most likely from MN into WI during the
afternoon. The weak instability levels should preclude any severe
threat.

...Jewell.. 02/06/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.