Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Feb 05 2024 06:46:08

ACUS02 KWNS 050646
SWODY2
SPC AC 050644

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 AM CST Mon Feb 05 2024

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

....Synopsis...
An amplified upper pattern consisting of a trough-ridge-trough will
gradually shift east across the CONUS and adjacent offshore areas
through the period. Thunder potential over land will largely be
confined to southern portions of CA/AZ, where large-scale ascent
focuses downstream of the primary shortwave impulse attendant to the
Pacific Coast trough. Thunderstorm coverage should diurnally peak
across the Lower CO Valley in the late afternoon Tuesday, with scant
buoyancy being the primary limiting factor to storm intensity.

A low-amplitude shortwave impulse should progress southward around
the backside of the broader trough off the Atlantic Coast. This
impulse should reach the Savannah Valley on Tuesday morning and then
move across east FL through the evening. The lobe of ascent ahead of
this feature, coupled with low-level speed convergence in
north-northeasterly flow near the coast, should support low-topped
thunderstorms into the nearshore waters of east FL.

...Grams.. 02/05/2024

$$

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