Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Feb 04 2024 17:31:30

ACUS02 KWNS 041731
SWODY2
SPC AC 041729

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1129 AM CST Sun Feb 04 2024

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR FAR SOUTH
FLORIDA AND THE KEYS...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible across far south
Florida and the Florida Keys during the day on Monday.

....South Florida and the Keys...
A mid/upper-level low initially centered near the northeast Gulf
Coast is forecast to move southeastward toward the FL Peninsula and
gradually weaken on Monday. In association with this system, strong
thunderstorms may affect portions of the eastern Gulf, Keys, and far
southern FL Peninsula overnight prior to the start of the D2/Monday
forecast period. While an outflow-influenced cold front is expected
to eventually move through the southern peninsula and into the Keys,
some threat for strong storms may linger into Monday morning, with
isolated hail and strong/damaging gusts possible. Potential for
afternoon development is more uncertain, but cannot be ruled out as
colder temperatures aloft overspread the region.

....California...
Cold temperatures aloft in association with an upper-level trough
near/just off the CA coast will support low-topped convection
capable of sporadic lightning flashes across parts of CA on Monday.
However, low-level flow/shear should diminish through the day, as an
occluded cyclone initially off of the northern CA continues to
weaken with time. The weakening flow should limit the potential for
organized convection across the region.

...Dean.. 02/04/2024

$$

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