Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Feb 04 2024 00:42:53

ACUS01 KWNS 040042
SWODY1
SPC AC 040041

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0641 PM CST Sat Feb 03 2024

Valid 040100Z - 041200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.

....01Z Update...
Some modification of the boundary layer may commence across the
northeastern/eastern Gulf of Mexico overnight, in advance of a
developing surface frontal low emanating from the central Gulf.
High-resolution model output does indicate that the environment
within the evolving warm sector of this wave may become supportive
of an organizing convective cluster, which may be in the process of
approaching the lower Florida Keys and southwestern/central Florida
Gulf coastal areas toward 12Z.  However, potentially cool/dry air
still entrenched across and inland of Florida coastal areas likely
will maintain a considerable stabilizing influence through tonight,
into at least early Sunday.

...Kerr.. 02/04/2024

$$

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