Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 31 2024 12:31:50

ACUS01 KWNS 311231
SWODY1
SPC AC 311230

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 AM CST Wed Jan 31 2024

Valid 311300Z - 011200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms appear possible mainly late this evening and
overnight along parts of the California Coast.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
Thunderstorm potential will remain low over the vast majority of the
CONUS today. An upper trough will move quickly off the Southeast
Atlantic Coast this afternoon, and associated thunderstorms are
expected to remain offshore over the warmer waters of the Gulf
Stream. Generally dry and stable surface conditions will prevail
east of the Rockies, precluding convection.

A highly amplified upper trough over the eastern Pacific will
approach the West Coast through the period. Associated cooling
mid-level temperatures should gradually move inland late this
evening and overnight. The development of weak instability that is
sufficiently deep though mid levels to support charge separation
remains uncertain. Still, isolated, low-topped convection capable of
producing occasional lightning flashes may move onshore along parts
of the CA Coast, mainly after 06Z.

...Gleason.. 01/31/2024

$$

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