Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 30 2024 05:49:48

ACUS02 KWNS 300549
SWODY2
SPC AC 300548

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1148 PM CST Mon Jan 29 2024

Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday.

....Coastal northern/central CA...
Scant surface-based instability should develop as PW increases and
mid-level temperatures cool ahead of a large-scale upper trough
approaching the Pacific Coast. This process should steadily occur
from north to south on Wednesday evening/night. Sporadic lightning
flashes are possible with low-topped convection that is sustained
within an onshore but weakening low-level flow regime, on the
backside of the leading warm-advection rain swath.

....Coastal Carolinas...
A shortwave trough near the southern Appalachians will shift off the
South Atlantic Coast on Wednesday. Overall environment ahead of this
wave will remain similar to late D1, with limited low-level moisture
likely supporting only minimal elevated buoyancy over land. Thunder
probabilities will increase above 10 percent offshore, as the lobe
of ascent overspreads the more unstable Gulf Stream.

...Grams.. 01/30/2024

$$

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