Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Tue Jan 30 2024 17:13:15 ACUS02 KWNS 301713 SWODY2 SPC AC 301711 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1111 AM CST Tue Jan 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday. ....Synopsis... Upper pattern early Wednesday is expected to feature ridging over the Plains flanked by a pair of troughs, one extending from the Mid-Atlantic to the central Gulf Coast and the other off the West Coast. Surface cyclogenesis will likely be underway off the Carolina coast ahead of the eastern shortwave trough, with some warm-air advection thunderstorms likely ongoing within the attendant warm conveyor offshore. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible along the cold front as it moves offshore later during the late morning/early afternoon. In both instance, storms are expected to stay far enough offshore to keep onshore thunderstorm probabilities less than 10%. Frontal zone associated with the western upper trough is forecast to begin the period just off the West Coast, with gradual eastward progress anticipated throughout the day. A large area of showers is anticipated within the warm conveyor ahead of this front, but mid-level temperatures are expected to be too warm for much buoyancy. Mid-level temperatures will cool throughout the day, from north to south, contributing to the development of limited buoyancy in the wake of the front. Given the persistent forcing for ascent, isolated convection is possible behind the front, with some of these showers becoming deep enough to produce isolated lightning flashes. ...Mosier.. 01/30/2024 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .