Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 29 2024 06:46:50

ACUS03 KWNS 290646
SWODY3
SPC AC 290645

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CST Mon Jan 29 2024

Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday.

....Synopsis...
A shortwave trough near the southern Appalachians will shift off the
South Atlantic Coast on Wednesday. Overall environment ahead of this
wave will remain similar to late D2, with limited low-level moisture
likely supporting only minimal elevated buoyancy. In conjunction
with moderate large-scale ascent, a few lightning flashes are
possible across the coastal plain of the Carolinas. Thunder
probabilities will increase above 10 percent offshore, as the lobe
of ascent overspreads the more unstable Gulf Stream.

Along coastal northern/central CA, scant surface-based instability
may develop by Wednesday night as PW increases ahead of a
large-scale upper trough approaching the Pacific Coast. Sporadic
lightning flashes are possible with low-topped convection that is
sustained within an onshore low-level flow regime, on the backside
of the leading warm-advection rain swath.

...Grams.. 01/29/2024

$$

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