Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 29 2024 06:15:21

ACUS02 KWNS 290615
SWODY2
SPC AC 290613

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1213 AM CST Mon Jan 29 2024

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday.

....Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move southeastward from the Upper Midwest
towards the southern Appalachians through 12Z Wednesday. While the
associated surface reflection will be weak, mid-level height falls
will aid in moderate large-scale ascent. While 850-700 mb moisture
will be limited, with generally 40s surface dew points emanating
east from the Deep South, cooling mid-level temperatures might
support minimal elevated buoyancy by Tuesday night. Guidance largely
suggests that MUCAPE will remain below 100 J/kg. A couple lightning
flashes might occur towards the southern Piedmont from the Carolinas
into GA early Wednesday morning. This appears to be below the 10
percent probability threshold needed for a thunder area delineation.

...Grams.. 01/29/2024

$$

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