Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 23 2024 08:27:03

ACUS03 KWNS 230826
SWODY3
SPC AC 230826

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 AM CST Tue Jan 23 2024

Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms, associated with marginally severe gusts, will be
possible across parts of the central Gulf Coast region on Thursday.

....Central Gulf Coast...
Southwest flow at mid-levels will be in place on Thursday across
much of the eastern half of the nation, as a shortwave trough moves
northeastward into the mid Mississippi Valley. At the surface, a
moist airmass will be located across the central Gulf Coast states,
where surface dewpoints are forecast to be in the 60s F. A cold
front is forecast to advance eastward through the lower Mississippi
Valley, with thunderstorms increasing in coverage during the morning
and afternoon. Model solutions suggest that a relatively
disorganized line of storms could develop near the front. Ahead of
the line, a small area of weak instability is forecast from
southeast Louisiana into far southern Mississippi. Thunderstorms
that move northeastward through this unstable airmass could develop
an isolated severe threat. Although deep-layer shear may be strong
enough for a low-end wind-damage threat, poor low to mid-level lapse
rates should keep any threat marginal and confined to a small area.

...Broyles.. 01/23/2024

$$

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