Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 23 2024 06:53:59

ACUS02 KWNS 230653
SWODY2
SPC AC 230652

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 AM CST Tue Jan 23 2024

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms, some with potential to be marginally severe, will be
possible on Wednesday from near the Texas Coast eastward to the
central Gulf Coast.

....Western and Central Gulf Coast...
Southwest flow at mid-levels will remain in place across much of the
central and eastern U.S. on Wednesday, as an upper-level trough over
northern Mexico approaches the southern Plains. At the surface, a
moist airmass will be in place from the Texas coast extending
east-northeastward into the central Gulf Coast states. Thunderstorms
appear likely to be ongoing at the start of the period across parts
of the Texas Coastal Plain. Thunderstorms are forecast to increase
in coverage, expanding eastward into the lower Mississippi Valley by
early afternoon. Although surface dewpoints will likely be in the
60s F across much of the moist airmass, low to mid-level lapse rates
are generally forecast to remain in the 6.0 to 6.5 C/km range. In
addition, the stronger large-scale ascent, associated with the
upper-level trough, is forecast to remain well to the west. As a
result, the potential for severe convection should remain isolated.
A few marginally severe gusts will be possible, with the threat
concentrated in the afternoon when temperatures will be the warmest.

...Broyles.. 01/23/2024

$$

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