Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jan 21 2024 00:25:39

ACUS01 KWNS 210025
SWODY1
SPC AC 210023

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0623 PM CST Sat Jan 20 2024

Valid 210100Z - 211200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential remains low across the CONUS tonight.

....Southwestern US...

Midlevel speed max is translating across the eastern Pacific with
stronger flow expected to progress across the northern Baja
Peninsula into northern Mexico late tonight. This southern stream is
becoming increasingly dominant and the primary short-wave trough
should advance into the lower CO River Valley/Gulf of CA by the end
of the period. 00z soundings at OAK and REV exhibited shallow/weak
instability, but lightning data has depicted a few flashes across
the interior Valley at times. While a flash or two remains possible
with the more robust updrafts this evening, buoyancy should remain
weak and the prospect for thunderstorms appears too low to warrant a
10% threshold overnight.

...Darrow.. 01/21/2024

$$

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