Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 16 2024 07:51:18

ACUS03 KWNS 160751
SWODY3
SPC AC 160749

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0149 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2024

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Thursday.

....Synopsis...

A weak upper shortwave trough over the southern Plains vicinity will
shift east toward the Carolinas on Thursday. This will result in
deep-layer southwesterly flow across the central/eastern Gulf Coast
vicinity. At the surface, a weak low over OK/TX will track east
across the Gulf coast states, before lifting northeast across the
Carolinas by Friday morning. Meanwhile, cold front attendant to the
low will spread southeast across the Southeastern U.S. Southerly
low-level flow ahead of the surface low will allow for modest Gulf
moisture to return northward, with near 60 F dewpoints moving into
southern LA/MS/AL and across FL (some higher dewpoints expected
central/southern FL). Overall, better thermodynamics will remain
over the Gulf, with warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates
limiting instability inland. Nevertheless, showers and isolated
thunderstorms will be possible across parts of the FL Peninsula in a
warm advection regime ahead of the approaching cold front. Severe
storms are not expected.

...Leitman.. 01/16/2024

$$

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