Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0070
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 15 2024 22:57:16

ACUS11 KWNS 152257
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152256=20
FLZ000-160000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0070
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0456 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2024

Areas affected...Eastern Florida Peninsula

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 152256Z - 160000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A localized threat for a brief tornado is expected to
continue in the short-term. Any threat should remain too marginal
for weather watch issuance.

DISCUSSION...Latest high-resolution radar imagery shows a supercell
ongoing in Martin County, Florida. WSR-88D VWPs along the Florida
east coast suggest veering winds with height in the lowest 2 km
above ground level, with some speed shear in the low to mid-levels.
Low-level shear may also be strengthened by frictional effects
associated with the coastal vicinity. In addition, the storm is
located near a boundary helping to increase low-level convergence.
The cell will continue to approach the coast over the next half
hour. Additional cells may develop, and could be associated with an
isolated/brief tornado threat due to the localized enhancement of
low-level shear. However, any threat is expected to remain marginal,
and not sufficient for tornado watch issuance.

...Broyles/Goss.. 01/15/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7zDpHGW6XiAvao6ZcZAIpAFM2inyf7ossrBfUjYK6YXiutgmNgmeC0TR9lLjCuxwMkxySN0hc=
0LqVtGD2wijyna2hc0$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...

LAT...LON   27078008 26998037 26988054 27058069 27188073 27318069
            27408059 27458036 27478017 27378005 27168003 27078008=20


=3D =3D =3D
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