Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 15 2024 16:17:46

ACUS01 KWNS 151617
SWODY1
SPC AC 151616

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1016 AM CST Mon Jan 15 2024

Valid 151630Z - 161200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.

....Central FL this afternoon...
Cyclonic flow aloft will persist over the CONUS from the Rockies
eastward, with ridging over the Pacific coast.  One embedded speed
maxima will progress east-northeastward from the Mid-South to the
Mid-Atlantic, in advance of an upstream wave moving from the central
High Plains/Rockies to the mid MS/lower OH Valleys.  The majority of
the CONUS will be relatively cold/dry, with the only buoyant warm
sector confined to the FL peninsula (and just off the southeast
Atlantic coast tonight).  The ongoing convection between Fort Meyers
and Sarasota could persist through the afternoon while spreading
east-northeastward along the warm front.  There will be sufficient
vertical shear/hodograph length for a weakly rotating storm within
the cluster, but poor midlevel lapse rates and modest low-level
flow/shear suggest that severe storms are unlikely.

...Thompson/Moore.. 01/15/2024

$$

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