Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 15 2024 00:30:41

ACUS01 KWNS 150030
SWODY1
SPC AC 150029

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0629 PM CST Sun Jan 14 2024

Valid 150100Z - 151200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential is low across the CONUS tonight; although a
flash of lightning can not be ruled out across parts of south
Florida.

....South FL...

Weak warm advection appears mostly responsible for shallow
convection currently located across parts of south FL and adjacent
offshore regions, though low-level convergence is focused along a
boundary just southeast of the Coast. 00z soundings from KEY and MFL
exhibit poor midlevel lapse rates but latest model guidance suggests
weak buoyancy may allow a few updrafts to approach levels necessary
for lightning discharge. Thunder potential is low, but a flash or
two can not be ruled out.

...Darrow.. 01/15/2024

$$

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