Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jan 14 2024 07:34:08

ACUS03 KWNS 140734
SWODY3
SPC AC 140732

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0132 AM CST Sun Jan 14 2024

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

....Synopsis...

A broad upper trough will envelop much of the eastern two-thirds of
the CONUS on Tuesday. A shortwave embedded within this larger-scale
trough will eject east/southeast from the central/southern High
Plains to the Mid-Atlantic coastal vicinity by Wednesday morning. At
the surface, a coastal low near the Outer Banks Tuesday morning will
lift northeast toward the Canadian Maritimes through the period.
Meanwhile, a cold front will track southeast across the southern
U.S., extending across southern FL by the end of the period. A moist
airmass will be in place across FL ahead of the front. While this
will contribute to some weak instability, lapse rates will remain
poor. Furthermore, any stronger large-scale ascent will be displaced
north of better boundary-layer moisture. While effective shear
magnitudes near 40 kt typically would support organized
thunderstorms, displaced large-scale ascent with a poorly timed
frontal intrusion into the FL Peninsula will preclude severe
potential.

Elsewhere, a cold and stable boundary layer will preclude
thunderstorm potential across much of the rest of the CONUS.

...Leitman.. 01/14/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.