Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0036
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 09 2024 20:27:43

ACUS11 KWNS 092027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092026=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-092200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0036
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024

Areas affected...far eastern South Carolina and southeast North
Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...6...7...

Valid 092026Z - 092200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 6, 7 continues.

SUMMARY...The supercell tornado threat is increasing this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A band of supercells has started to mature as they move
north over the warm Atlantic waters. Very strong shear, (68 knots
per CHS 18Z RAOB) and a vorticity rich low-level airmass with 474
m2/2 0-500m SRH will support a waterspout/tornado threat with these
supercells. However, at this time, instability is still quite
limited along the coast with only 61F dewpoint at North Myrtle
Beach, SC and Southport, NC. This may keep the tornado threat
confined to the coast initially. However, the higher theta-e airmass
over the ocean is expected to advect inland late this afternoon and
evening which may also increase the strong tornado threat.

...Bentley.. 01/09/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6VaKtvzgmx4wQ8F6vebAOuDZ-J5RL45Mf0jH3nx6jYs8ni8j3JsE2ifT2d2-cVR5ZHHttvirb=
NjPvrKOL1aGir4a4qI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON   33717882 34257877 34817841 34887776 34237735 32487794
            32217872 32267918 32947915 33717882=20


=3D =3D =3D
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