Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 02 2024 06:03:08

ACUS02 KWNS 020601
SWODY2
SPC AC 020600

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CST Tue Jan 02 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of the Southeast and
coastal California on Wednesday. Severe thunderstorms appear
unlikely.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
A southern-stream shortwave trough with attendant 50-70 kt mid-level
jet will move quickly eastward over the Southeast and northern Gulf
of Mexico Wednesday. An associated weak surface low is likewise
forecast to develop eastward over the northern Gulf shelf waters,
north FL, and western Atlantic through the period. Most
global/regional guidance, with exception of the NAM, continues to
indicate that rich low-level moisture will remain displaced
offshore/south of the central Gulf Coast, and west of the FL Gulf
Coast. While some chance for elevated thunderstorms may exist owing
to weak MUCAPE inland, appreciable severe potential over land still
appears low.

Isolated convection also appears possible Wednesday morning and
early afternoon across parts of coastal CA, as cold temperatures
aloft and large-scale ascent associated with an upper trough move
from the eastern Pacific over this area. Weak instability should
keep overall lightning coverage rather sparse.

...Gleason.. 01/02/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.