Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Dec 30 2023 19:52:26

ACUS01 KWNS 301951
SWODY1
SPC AC 301949

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0149 PM CST Sat Dec 30 2023

Valid 302000Z - 311200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential still appears low through tonight.

....20Z Update...
No changes. See the previous outlook (below) for details.

...Squitieri.. 12/30/2023

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CST Sat Dec 30 2023/

....Synopsis...
A mid/upper-level shortwave trough is moving eastward across
central/southern CA this morning. An extensive precipitation band
associated with this shortwave is expected to weaken later this
morning, as stronger ascent becomes increasingly displaced eastward
of available moisture. In the wake of the early-morning
precipitation, showers may develop across near-coastal regions of
central/southern CA by midday into early afternoon. However, with
instability expected to remain quite weak and convection likely to
be rather shallow and low-topped, lightning potential appears low.

Elsewhere, persistent dry/stable conditions will limit thunderstorm
potential across the rest of the CONUS.

$$

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