Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Dec 26 2023 00:46:03

ACUS01 KWNS 260045
SWODY1
SPC AC 260043

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 PM CST Mon Dec 25 2023

Valid 260100Z - 261200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Synopsis...
A large deep-layer cyclone will become vertically stacked and be
centered over the north-central Great Plains through tonight.  An
occluded cyclone near the IA/MN/NE border will feature a boundary
arcing from the Upper Midwest southeastward into OH Valley, with the
southern portion of the boundary continuing to progress east as a
cold front across the northeast Gulf Coast states tonight.  A few
widely spaced showers/thunderstorms are possible from GA/SC into the
southern Appalachians this evening as well as a low risk for
thunderstorm activity across the southern FL Peninsula into the FL
Straits.  Scant to weak buoyancy sampled by the 00z southeastern
U.S. raobs indicates thunderstorms will likely remain weak through
tonight.  Elsewhere, quiescent conditions will occur in areas
displaced from precipitation associated with the deep-layer cyclone
over the central U.S., and an approaching shortwave trough over the
Pacific Northwest.

...Smith.. 12/26/2023

$$

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