Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Dec 25 2023 17:28:40

ACUS02 KWNS 251726
SWODY2
SPC AC 251725

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

....Discussion...
Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An
expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should
drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential
will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a
persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded
front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated
buoyancy focused from the Carolinas to the south-central
Appalachians, with sporadic/isolated thunderstorm development
possible through the period. Meager surface-based buoyancy may
develop closer to the SC coast, but a limited instability profile
amid marginal deep-layer shear should preclude an appreciable severe
thunderstorm threat. The bulk of deep convection will largely be
confined off the south Atlantic Coast with greater offshore
thunderstorm coverage during the first half of the period.

...Grams.. 12/25/2023

$$

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