Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Dec 25 2023 16:23:38

ACUS01 KWNS 251623
SWODY1
SPC AC 251621

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1021 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023

Valid 251630Z - 261200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

A large upper low dominates the weather across the CONUS today,
while the primary weather-making shortwave rotates across the
Southeast states and Mid-Atlantic region.  Scattered thunderstorms
are possible from the central Appalachians southward into FL today,
with relatively cool/stable near-surface conditions limiting any
risk of severe weather.

....FL Keys...
The only area of some minor concern is over the middle and lower FL
Keys.  Radar/satellite imagery show a cluster of strong
thunderstorms about 120nm west of Key West.  This activity is moving
slowly eastward, and will likely affect the Keys late this afternoon
and early evening.  However, low-level winds are weakening with
time, and CAPE values are strong over the open waters compared to
farther east near the Keys.  Therefore, the risk of severe storms
moving inland appears low.

...Hart/Thornton.. 12/25/2023

$$

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