Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Sun Dec 24 2023 17:21:21 ACUS02 KWNS 241720 SWODY2 SPC AC 241718 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Sun Dec 24 2023 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ....Southeast... While no severe area is currently highlighted, conditional brief tornado/localized damaging wind potential may become apparent from the FL Panhandle/southeast AL to the GA/SC border area on Monday. A gradually weakening shortwave impulse will move northeast from the Lower MS Valley to the OH Valley, pivoting around a deepening mid/upper low over the central Great Plains. Primary surface cyclone will occlude across parts of the Lower to Mid-MO Valley via a northwest arc through IA. A minor, southern-stream surface wave near the AL/FL Panhandle coast at 12Z Monday should decay with convergence along the cold front waning through the day. The trailing portion of an initially strong low-level jet within the warm conveyor will likewise pivot northeast from AL/western GA/FL Panhandle across the TN Valley and southern Appalachians. Potential for surface-based destabilization within the warm conveyor should be quite limited inland of the Gulf Coast, with widespread cloudiness and ongoing showers/thunderstorms amid initially poor low to mid-level lapse rates. Meager destabilization should occur during the day between the weakening cold front and the pivoting warm conveyor as the mid-level dry slot overspreads in the wake of the departing shortwave impulse, but this will be accompanied by substantial diminishing of low-level shear. While the most likely scenario is for a nil severe threat, favorable low-level hodographs within the warm conveyor suggests that potential may not be negligible if this can overlap adequate surface-based instability. ...Grams.. 12/24/2023 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .