Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Dec 24 2023 00:59:56

ACUS01 KWNS 240059
SWODY1
SPC AC 240058

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 PM CST Sat Dec 23 2023

Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE PERMIAN BASIN AND TRANSPECOS...

....SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the southern
High Plains this evening.

....Southern Great Plains...
Water-vapor imagery shows a mid-level low and associated trough
moving east across the southern Rockies/southern High Plains.
Strengthening forcing for ascent continues to spread east across the
southern High Plains atop a moist boundary layer featuring upper 50s
to lower 60s dewpoints.  Weak buoyancy was sampled by the Midland,
TX 00z raob (600 J/kg MLCAPE) with a wind profile supporting
organized storms.  Although slow nocturnal cooling will occur across
the southern Great Plains, weak buoyancy will be maintained.
Through the mid to late evening hours, the severe risk will be
greatest from near the Big Bend northward into parts of the Permian
Basin.  Large hail/severe gusts may accompany the stronger storms
before a gradual weakening of storms as they move east into western
parts of central TX tonight.  Farther north over northwest TX and
far southwestern OK, a forced convective band may yield an isolated
risk for localized severe gusts before this convective band becomes
increasingly elevated and moves east of an instability axis.

...Smith.. 12/24/2023

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.