Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Dec 22 2023 08:53:01

ACUS48 KWNS 220852
SWOD48
SPC AC 220851

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0251 AM CST Fri Dec 22 2023

Valid 251200Z - 301200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Medium-range forecast guidance is in fairly good agreement for much
of the Day 4-8 period. General consensus is that a closed upper low
will develop over the Midwest and gradually shift east/northeast
toward the Great Lakes with time. Large-scale upper troughing will
persist east of the Mississippi River through Day 8/Fri. At the same
time, an upper ridge will develop and shift east across the western
half of the CONUS. At the surface, low pressure and attendant cold
front will develop east in tandem with the upper low/trough over the
Midwest and eastern states. Thunderstorms will be possible across
the Southeast Days 4-5/Mon-Tue ahead of the front, but weak
large-scale ascent and poor thermodynamics will likely preclude
severe potential. In the wake of the cold front, high pressure over
the Rockies and Plains will lead to stable conditions.

...Leitman.. 12/22/2023

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.