Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Dec 19 2023 00:47:25

ACUS01 KWNS 190046
SWODY1
SPC AC 190045

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0645 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential is low tonight.

....01z Update...

Midlevel speed max is translating inland across northern CA this
evening. Associated short-wave trough will deamplify as it ejects
into OR later tonight. Very little/no lightning has been observed
with weak convection ahead of this feature. 00z sounding from OAK
exhibits poor lapse rates with meager buoyancy. While some
large-scale forcing for ascent will be noted early this evening,
meaningful destabilization is not expected and the risk for
lightning is very low.

...Darrow.. 12/19/2023

$$

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