Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2334
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Dec 17 2023 21:51:33

ACUS11 KWNS 172149
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172149=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-172345-

Mesoscale Discussion 2334
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0349 PM CST Sun Dec 17 2023

Areas affected...eastern North Carolina...far northeast South
Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 722...

Valid 172149Z - 172345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 722 continues.

SUMMARY...A corridor of brief tornado risk may persist through early
evening.

DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows gradual warming as winds veer
over the region, but instability remain limited over much of the
area. A plume of stronger instability does exist over the ocean,
with upper 60s F dewpoints now ahead of the low and not far from the
latitude of KMYR and KSUT.

The persistent and strong southeasterly winds ahead of the low track
will maintain a minimally unstable air mass over eastern NC, where
very strong low-level shear will remain. Cooling aloft and lift near
the deepening low and midlevel trough, despite the midlevel dry
slot, may still yield isolated supercells, perhaps moving onshore
with brief tornado risk before interacting with the cooler air mass.

...Jewell.. 12/17/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-c6zlIq1VvvxjjXp3-uWpnJLZPcKYRkLDl49w03FWRbAECqNr6-1HQel0sJmB6YZ3kxuqBJwh=
u9Rpvf2PNjieUZi7pM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON   33417877 33517890 33807909 34337858 34967785 35797709
            36227628 36257562 35647529 35207537 34867612 34487649
            34627703 34377752 33947781 33727792 33787824 33637846
            33417877=20


=3D =3D =3D
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