Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Dec 15 2023 12:49:01

ACUS01 KWNS 151248
SWODY1
SPC AC 151247

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0647 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2023

Valid 151300Z - 161200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the United States
through tonight.

....Synopsis...
A midlevel low over northwest OK this morning will eject slowly
east-northeastward toward MO by tonight, as an upstream wave digs
south-southeastward from southern AB/SK toward SD/NE.  A band of
rain with embedded convection persists from central TX into central
OK, in association with the midlevel low and a reinforcing frontal
surge across OK/TX.  The band of ascent/rain will spread eastward
and southeastward through tonight, with weak buoyancy aloft
supporting a continued threat for isolated lightning flashes through
tonight (primarily from north TX to southeast TX).  Otherwise, some
convection and isolated lightning flashes may also occur across
south FL/Keys in the persistent easterly flow regime along a
residual front.

...Thompson/Broyles.. 12/15/2023

$$

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