Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Dec 12 2023 16:15:12

ACUS01 KWNS 121614
SWODY1
SPC AC 121613

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1013 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2023

Valid 121630Z - 131200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible tonight across
west Texas and southeast New Mexico.

....Synopsis...

No changes to the ongoing outlook are needed with the 1630z update.
Moistening midlevels and steepening lapse rates ahead of the western
U.S. upper trough will foster modest elevated instability overnight
across eastern NM/west TX. Increasing ascent in a continued warm
advection regime may be sufficient for a few lightning flashes in
elevated convective showers. Severe storms are not expected.

...Leitman/Weinman.. 12/12/2023

$$

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