Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Dec 11 2023 17:00:28

ACUS02 KWNS 111700
SWODY2
SPC AC 111659

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1059 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

....Synopsis...
Generally dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorm
development across most of the CONUS on Tuesday. One possible
exception will be across parts of eastern NM and west TX, where a
modest increase in midlevel moisture is expected in advance of a
developing mid/upper-level low over the Southwest. The increasing
moisture will support the development of weak elevated buoyancy
(MUCAPE of 100-300 J/kg) Tuesday evening into early Wednesday
morning. While more favorable large-scale ascent will likely remain
displaced to the west of this buoyancy through the end of the
period, some development of elevated convection cannot be ruled out
late Tuesday night across parts of eastern NM and/or west TX. Should
this occur, sporadic lightning flashes will be possible, though
confidence remains relatively low at this time.

...Dean.. 12/11/2023

$$

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